Ali Anani

منذ 4 سنوات · 2 دقائق وقت القراءة · ~100 ·

التدوين
>
مدونة Ali
>
Do We Learn from Past Experiences?

Do We Learn from Past Experiences?

&s Directional ll A Stabilizin A % g 2% on dt . & e + Selection on Ft election $ Law of Social Cycle : 7% Sexual Disruptive Fa 2 Selection A <4 2 N ®%., Selection FFE 4% %, N® %, Or XR 2

The question that clouds my mind this morning is if we learn from past experiences. We say contradicting thoughts about the past such as:

· If you don’t have past, then you don’t have future

· Those who think extensively of the past have no time to think about the future

· Live the present because you can’t change the past or predict the future

“Yesterday is history, tomorrow is a mystery, today is a gift of God, which is why we call it the present.” Bill Keane

The past may change the future and complex systems show this fact. The social cycle consisting of four stages (below image)

o Ss 0.0 4.0 32 34 3.6 3.8 3.0 6 2.8 2. 24

The social cycle that repeats over the ages testifies that history repeats itself. I add that we repeat our behaviors, and this results in the repetition of the four cycles. Another example is the waves observed worldwide in the stock markets indicating that human behave similarly as evidenced by the formation of similar waves in all stock markets worldwide.

Are humans the only ones who repeat history? If we inspect the logistic equation, we find it behaves similarly. The image below shows the behavior of the logistic equation of time.

0138f0ba.png

From Wikipedia

I also suggest for the readers watching this great video on the logistic map:


We observe the growth rate to start with and that it is predictable. This stage indicates the richness of resources for all . In social cycles this is the intellectual stage because there are resources and creative ideas to grow rapidly. Following this growth and the exploitation of resources and ideas is the conservation stage. People tend here to conserve what they have and gradually people stick to their social status. Information flow become increasingly more stagnant and tension builds up. This leads to the bifurcation of the system into two states, four states and very rapidly to eight possible states. This stage in the logistic equation compares with the acquisitor stage of the social cycle. Information and resources are in the hands of few. A rigidity gap appears and the system collapses to release itself from the mounting tension. We see this in the complex and then chaotic behavior of the logistic equation. This is similar to the warrior stage in the social cycle as the iinfluencers try to keep their grip on their wealth. However; force shall not be able to keep the status quo and we see the restructuring and self-organizing in both the logistic equation and the social cycle.

Do we learn from the past? Or, it is intrinsic in us to keep doing the same regardless of what is ahead of us? The chaotic world we live in signals the proximity of the rearrangement stage and the beginning of new social cycle that bases itself on new structures and new resources? Is it a destiny for living species to repeat their behaviors? Or, is it our failure to change within that keeps the social cycles repeating and the logistic equation to behave the way it does?


#Past Experiences #Bill Keane #Wikipedia #God #Stabilizin
التعليقات

Ali Anani

منذ 4 سنوات #29

#32
Thanks Bill

Bill Stankiewicz

منذ 4 سنوات #28

cool buzz

Ali Anani

منذ 4 سنوات #27

#30
I agree. Some people refer to success as blind because it blinds the eye to see a all coming.

John Rylance

منذ 4 سنوات #26

#29
We need to try and build on our successes, rather than becoming complacent and frittering away our success. Yes have pride in our successes, but keep in the back of our minds the adage Pride comes before a fall.

Ali Anani

منذ 4 سنوات #25

#27
Yes, and we tend to have the success syndrome that makes our successes the starting point for possible failures. Success is sweet and even consuming large amounts of honey at one time could have reverse effects. It is great to fail because failure teaches us lessons that we forget when we are successful.

Ali Anani

منذ 4 سنوات #24

#26
This is an interesting comment CityVP \ud83d\udc1d Manjit. Like a rod in which a we dip one end in hot water soon the other end heats up. Energy moves, but at not the same rate for all materials. WE may insulate one part to control the thermal energy transfer and localize it. What part of a city is protected is like using an insulator. But for how long can we control this process. Instead of piling sand till one grain more collapses the pile, imagine it is a pile of money that we have and one coin will eventually collapse this pile and the social structure along with it.

CityVP Manjit

منذ 4 سنوات #23

What I am fascinated by is how the same city can have such disparity in social condition. One can literally drive through good areas and bad areas of the city and the underlying starting conditions are different, and there are unnatural advantages thrown in that make wealthier communities live in what is really akin to a paradise economic system and the people on the receiving end of life are trapped by natural disadvantages. The differences in these social cycles then depends on which areas of the city receive protection from regression, and which ones never get out of a state of regression , as they are left to the forces of nature and at the same time disadvantageous conditions that are not natural, but allow the initial state to remain constant. Constant poverty then builds around areas of developed communities. The only time all communities suffer the same fate is when the infrastructure that holds the prospersous communities collapse. That infrastructure includes utilities, maintenance and design of urban spaces. Third world existence is bereft of the order that creates a beautiful urban garden and the disorder that creates an urban wilderness. Unless we add these conditions to the model, the model remains too generic.

Jerry Fletcher

منذ 4 سنوات #22

#23
Dr. Ali, I am honored to have inspired you.

Ali Anani

منذ 4 سنوات #21

#22
This is an amazing comment dear Jerry Fletcher. I am pooling some references to verify some thoughts of my next buzz that is titled "Authenticity and Groupthink". Why do we follow group thinking and not be as authentic as some few have been? I hope to address your comment in my forthcoming buzz and try to elaborate more on your excellent comment.

Jerry Fletcher

منذ 4 سنوات #20

Dr. Ali, A thought starter as usual. I found the video very instructional. What strikes me here, having consumed the earlier comments, is that there is a difference in the reference point that is amazing. History, for the most part, is based n the joint actions of groups. But humans are individuals. The individual can understand what is going on and take advantage of a situation because of that knowledge. the group can only respond to the stimuli in its environment. That is why some individuals are seen as "forward thinkers" or "wizards." And so it goes.

Ali Anani

منذ 4 سنوات #19

#20
Great thoughts, as usual, in your comments Roberto De la Cruz Utria. I am sure you may consider writing a post on your condensed thoughts here. I enjoyed reading and I quote you "...but I think that basically the change would be in the reduction of the social gap...). Thank you so much for using the term social gap and you are on spot. When we talk about rigidity gap I may expand on it and call in "Social rigidity gap". What you explained in the rest of your comment conforms in my opinion with this definition. When powerful people try to keep the status quo against the will of the majority the social structure becomes too rigid and it releases into a new state. I think that we are on similar waves this way.

Ali Anani

منذ 4 سنوات #18

#18
Franci\ud83d\udc1dEugenia Hoffman, beBee Brand Ambassador- I am sure of one thing- I gained a takeaway from your comment and it is positive.

Ali Anani

منذ 4 سنوات #17

#16
Thank you and I do appreciate our inspiring exchange of thoughts. This is a great reward for me.

Harvey Lloyd

منذ 4 سنوات #16

#14
No. It is you that inspire thought and challenge our viewpoints. Thank you for your thoughts and openness to challenge the short answers we all seem to pursue.

Ali Anani

منذ 4 سنوات #15

I invite Fay Vietmeier. We need your input, Fay.

Ali Anani

منذ 4 سنوات #14

#13
You do open my eyes to new possibilities. I like the way you "read" history. There is so much to think about and see history from a new perspective, I am going to explore this possibility.

Harvey Lloyd

منذ 4 سنوات #13

You have referenced so many natural processes and their reflection of the path for humanity. I believe that a "natural grace" exists, just like we witness in natural ecosystems. Humans can find and hold for periods of time within in this natural grace path. Many books of success have been written and expose this path. The question is can we hold the path when we lack a foundation of faith? Ultimately as we look at past cultures/societies the ebb and flow of their existence had many parts one was the ability to hold fast to the natural grace path they all subscribed. Other portions of the paradigm could falter and self correct. Once power was centralized, the natural grace path abandoned, only a major reset could happen to reset values lost.

Ali Anani

منذ 4 سنوات #12

#11
Humans are created from clay and not gold. Their clayey character shall not be of gold. Spiritual motivation may move them. This is what I meant in my previous comment. In a dinner party recently my neighbor told me that people with no faith in God shall never be good-mannered. I gave him examples of people were were so kind to others even though they had no faith. His reply was that they misled me as they did to their believers. Sometimes, irrational faith plays in the opposite direction.

Harvey Lloyd

منذ 4 سنوات #11

#10
It was not my intent to introduce religion or spiritual things. But rather to state that values through these disciplines plaid a large role in social success. Within law and policy the social values remained a constant until the society reached a tipping point. It seems at this tipping point of transitioning from agreed on values, to new leadership values by benefactors, societies of success enter chaos. Not to sell the benefactors short they were merely exercising self preservation. A natural phenomena. The larger question is have societies traveled far enough along the wisdom scale to reject self preservation when it is destructive to others? If media is any predictor of the outcome it is not looking very good here in the states. But i sense that time is the ultimate arbiter of this question. And time has not run out. In ancient times The Ancient Akitu Festival and the Humbling of the King was a ritual where the king was humbled to the values of the culture. Stopping the king from spiralling into his own godlike belief.

Ali Anani

منذ 4 سنوات #10

#8
I love your mind my friend Harvey Lloyd and the integration you add to the fortunate buzzes that you comment on. Besides using in my previous comment the term :"footprints of history", now I say that majority attracts others. This is The Law of Majority. Once a group gets enough momentum and attract many followers they become the new norm for people tend to conform with the majority.. Those who claimed they were gods attracted followers. We are still doing the same. If we think highly of a man and his theories it shall be hard to believe others even if they are correct. This becomes more tedious with spiritual beliefs, but once they attract the majority or allude others that they have things take a different path. I do hank you for extending the discussion to the spiritual side of history.

Ali Anani

منذ 4 سنوات #9

#7
I like your examples John Rylance. I shall use t]a term that I just coined, without being aware if it has been used before or not. The footprints of history are laid for many to follow. Not only we have footprints, but also sand has them imprinted of the clock of sand.

Harvey Lloyd

منذ 4 سنوات #8

On the surface we can look at the socio-economic strata and come away with a cycle. But what motivates the cycle. In my studies of history there were also very "spiritual" cycles. A budding society lacks resources, faces dangers and other catastrophic events that could eliminate them. They called on god(s) or God. They needed supernatural intervention to an unforeseen future. The society that held on to this spiritual belief also held on to values they thought were pleasing to god(s) God. These values were strictly enforced along with socio-economic laws. Once a group within the society felt that they "new the future" they began to believe they were god(s). The original values were replaced with values that supported them. This was divisive. Tribes began to form in direct conflict to the new self anointed gods. It was no longer fear of the supernatural god(s), but fear of a mere greedy human(s). Societies unravelled back to where they started. A remnant formed to begin the budding process all over again. We can make many socio-economic mistakes and recover. We will always reset when our societies do not share and believe in common values as strongly as we do policy, law and economic concerns. Great discussion as always.

John Rylance

منذ 4 سنوات #7

Once something happens it becomes part of the past, an arguably part of History.  I suggest that if having failed at something several times and we try again and succeed we are learning from the past/ history.  Equally we can learn from others History/past. Example we are walking along the person in front of us stumbles over a hidden pothole. We note this and avoid it when we reach it. Arguably we are learning from their past(pun?) therefore History.

John Rylance

منذ 4 سنوات #6

As soon as something happens it becomes part of the past, arguably part of History. I suggest one could say if we fail at something then try a different tack and succeed we are learning from the past/history.  Equally we could be walking down the road the person in front of us moves aside to miss a pothole. We do the same when we reach that spot

Ali Anani

منذ 4 سنوات #5

#4
The fact that history repeats itself is in alignment with your comment, to which I agree.

Pascal Derrien

منذ 4 سنوات #4

I did History at university not only I believe it helps us to shape the future but its fundamental in equipping us with the right level of understanding to manage the present....

Ali Anani

منذ 4 سنوات #3

Thank you Javier \ud83d\udc1d beBee for your sharing the buzz.

Ali Anani

منذ 4 سنوات #2

#1
Long live the great spirit of my friend Debasish Majumder

Debasish Majumder

منذ 4 سنوات #1

lovely insightful buzz sir Ali \ud83d\udc1d Anani, Brand Ambassador @beBee! enjoyed read and shared. thank you for the buzz sir.

مقالات من Ali Anani

عرض المدونة
منذ 3 سنوات · 2 دقائق وقت القراءة

My e-book: Collection of Creative Ideas

Creativity is like scattered light going in different directions first to explore and observe in sea ...

منذ 3 سنوات · 2 دقائق وقت القراءة

A Wrong Question to Ask- Which is greater fear or love?

Three events urged me to write this post. The first one triggered me to write the draft. The second ...

منذ 3 سنوات · 5 دقائق وقت القراءة

Ideas Stock Markets- why investors, authors and readers behave similarly?

Is trading ideas in meetings similar to trading stocks in stock markets? · Can the stock markets be ...

المتخصصون ذوو الصلة

قد تكون مهتمًا بهذه الوظائف

  • Elite Company

    sales representative

    تم العثور عليها في: DrJobEn JO A2 - منذ 3 أيام

    Elite Company Amman, الأردن

    A girl with a driver's license is required to work for the Elite Company for the manufacture of cosmetics as a sales representative for women's salons, provided that her leadership is good, she is a resident of Zarqa, and she has experience in the field of sales. Military furnitu ...

  • UNICEF

    Emergency Specialist

    تم العثور عليها في: DrJobEn JO A2 - منذ 6 أيام

    UNICEF Amman, الأردن

    About the job · UNICEF works in some of the world's toughest places, to reach the world's most disadvantaged children. To save their lives. To defend their rights. To help them fulfill their potential. · Across 190 countries and territories, we work for every child, everywhere, e ...

  • Aspire IT Services Partner

    Sr Software Engineer Java Selenium

    تم العثور عليها في: DrJobEn JO A2 - منذ 6 أيام

    Aspire IT Services Partner Amman, الأردن

    Work closely with remote and onsite project teams to design, build, test, deploy and maintain enhancements to new and existing software · Collaborate with project teams on problem solving, sophisticated design solutions, and creating quality products · Review, understand and anal ...