When you gain look for what you lose
I believe that one of the most disturbing aspects of us is our tendency to look for what we lose when we gain. Likewise; not searching for what we gain when we lose. This puts us out of balance and leads to the distortion of our lives.
The motive for writing this buzz resulted from reading the buzz of Jerry Fletcher today titled “The Overlooked Dimension”. To keep things simple, we tend to see the relationship of two variable in a 2-D graph. We gain simplicity, but we miss understanding. If we use 3-D graph we gain better insights, but we lose simplicity. The balance of opposites is running under the surface and away from direct observation.
History is full of examples. Our lives have may evidences to show this is the case where one event sends us out of our balance and we lose. When we are happy we forget that the roots of sadness are growing beneath the surface. We see the tree growing, but we overlook what is going with the roots and the root of problems as well.
When we are happy we forget that the roots of sadness are growing beneath the surface. When we are happy we forget that the roots of sadness are growing beneath the surface. When we are happy we forget that the roots of sadness are growing beneath the surface. This leads to the disruption of our lives, the loss of our resilience and the depletion of our self-confidence.
“When we are happy we forget that the roots of sadness are growing beneath the surface”
We lose jobs and become gloomy, desperate and reach depression. We forget what we gain as we have more time to think of new opportunities to connect with our friends, to strengthen family ties and search for better opportunities. We sink in despair and fail to see the light of the emerging opportunities. When we make profits fast we become greedy and fail to see the new risks till they grow and we end up losing our wealth. You probably heard of “The 72 Rule”. It states that you may double your wealth by dividing 72 over the percentage of the growth of your profits. This happens in the stock market. Some markets allow for 15% of daily profits. So, if you start investing USD 1000 the amount shall double to USD 2000 over 72 divided by 15%. In about five days you double your investment. If the market keeps performing then your investment shall double again in almost five days. Wow! As you see your capital growing and greed becomes a prominent factor. Soon, the market collapses and your capital id depleted. Why? Because we lose balance eying profits with disregard to risks.
The social cycles over centuries hasn’t changed. Creative people generate profitable ideas to be exploited by the alert investors. Soon, those investors accumulate wealth and 20% of the people own 80% of the wealth. The result is destabilization of the society and riots start. The rule of force becomes the dominant force to control rioters leading to the disruption of the society and to the emergence of new social order. When 20% of people own 89% of the wealth it means the creation of asymmetrical voids in the structure of the society. The roots begin to grow in these voids and lead the cracking of society.
The complexity of our lives relates to our tendencies to go the extremes and losing insight of goes on under the surface. Let ma take for example our societies. People are getting more connected. This gain increased degree of connection means that societies may become less agile because of their “heavy” structure and become more fragile. When there is a rising wave, look for the sinking wave.
When there is a rising wave, look for the sinking wave
Connectedness increases and resilience decreases and vice versa. When connectedness
reaches the top of the wave, resilience reaches its bottom.
This is like the prey-predator system. When the predators reach their maximum, the preys reach their lowest level. Too many predators and few preys. Soon, the predators shall have no preys to feed on and they die. If we consider connectedness as the predator then the resilience is the prey which is eaten by the predator. We can plot these two variables on a 2-D graph, but then we lose insights for simplicity.
Resilience decreases with wealth accumulation, as I explained above and is evidenced from the 72 Rule and the four society cycles. When wealth is in the hands of the 20% of population, the resilience also goes down.
Now, we have three variables: connectedness, resilience and capital. To show their interactions we put them on 3-D graph to reflect their interactions. The waves merge to produce the Adaptive Cycle of all complex systems.
Going back to the social cycles, the exploitation of creative business ideas by few sharp investors lead to the accumulation of wealth in few hands. No more preys for the predators. Conservation initiates and the deprived people riot and release their anger. This leads to the disruption of the societal structure and reorganization of the society.
We all need to learn our lessons. Big companies that captured a huge share of the market lost their adaptability resilience and adaptability to change. They became too heavy to move. This led to many of them turning into dinosaurs. People with inflated pride should be careful for the sinking pride of others will allow the hidden part of the wave to emerge and turn the pride into despaie.
Either we keep our balance or will be disrupted by our blindness to the arriving waves.