Climate Change. The Futile Pursuit Of Tackling The Unknown.
I am currently in London and this weekend there will be a march to the houses of parliament by perhaps thousands of concerned citizens demanding action on climate change. I suspect that not many of them are aware that there is not much of a government to speak of after the disastrous Brexit vote!!
Given my propensity for writing tongue in cheek pieces on everyday life there is no doubt that this post will ruffle a feather or a bee’s wing or two but is that not what these posts are for? Me a climate septic? I in truth am not sure.
Politicians huff, puff and pontificate about the need to do something about climate change throwing statistics about like confetti, which the media then takes it upon itself to embellish.
Climate computer modeling can vary by up to 400% in 'guessing' future trends. There is no one who can predict the state of the world in 100 years from now. We can only guess, but even an informed guess is still a guess.
Michael Crichton in his book State of Fear said, " I suspect that part of the observed surface warming will ultimately be attributed to human activity and this will come from land use and the atmospheric component will be minor. There are many reasons to shift away from fossil fuels and we will do so in the next century without legislation, financial incentives or the protestations of fear mongers. Horse transport was never banned in the early 20th century, we simply moved on eliminating the threat that cities would be buried under mountains of horse manure!"
I suspect that the people living on this planet in 2100 will be richer than we are, consume more energy, have a smaller global population and enjoy more wildernesses than we have today. I don't think we have to worry about them. I have more respect for people who change their views after acquiring new information than those who cling to views they held thirty years ago. The world changes, ideologues and zealots do not."
Nothing is more inherently political than our shared physical environment, and nothing is more ill served by allegiance to a single political party. One faction according to its own economic or aesthetic preferences cannot manage the environment we share. Sooner or later, the opposing faction will take power, and previous policies will be reversed. Stable management of the environment requires recognition that all preferences have their place. These are often at odds, and their incompatible goals cannot be avoided. However resolving incompatible goals is a true function of politics.
I live in hope.
To harness climate or indeed, trying to change it is a daunting prospect no matter how we approach it. Our feeble attempts, and they will always will be feeble, are simply no match for what the earth has planned for us.
We continuously bleat on about climate change. Every three years or so 'significant' conferences are held where no one agrees and lame treaties are invented and signed. This is no more than a photo opportunity for politicians and world leaders alike who bask in the glow that they have contributed something meaningful, when in fact what have we have achieved? In essence not very much at all really.
For the last seven hundred thousand years, our planet has been in a geological ice age. Ice covers the planet every one hundred thousand years with smaller advances every twenty thousand years. Why? No one is sure.
The last advance was twenty thousand years ago so perhaps we are due for the next one. The planet is still incredibly active. There are over 1500 volcanoes on earth, 500 of them extremely active along the ring of fire, with an eruption on average every two weeks.
Earthquakes are continuous: one and a half million a year; a moderate Richter 5 quake every five hours, a larger earthquake every ten days. Tsunamis race across the Pacific on average every three months. . Our atmosphere is as violent as the land beneath it. At any given moment there are one thousand electrical storms across the planet. Eleven lightning bolts strike the ground every second, Tornados tears across the surface every six hours. And every four hours a giant cyclonic storm, hundreds of miles in diameter, spins over the ocean and creates havoc on land.
We as a species can but do one thing.... run and hide. However we still harbor the belief that we can stabilize this atmosphere. That is arrogance beyond belief, endorsed by bloated governments who tax polluters and issue dire warnings on rapid climate change yet, in reality their rhetoric is based on countless theories put forward by scientists who often or not have their own agendas.* They, nor anyone else can control climate or indeed stabilize it. To think so is seriously misguided even though the media tells us a different story.
The reality is, all we can do is run from the storms.
* Global Warming. The truth behind the myth. Michael parsons
* After The Ice Age. E.C.Pielou
* The Satanic Gasses. Clearing the Air About Global Warming. Patrick J. Michaels.
Paul v Walters is an international best selling author and when not cocooned in sloth and procrastination also scribbles for several international travel and vox pop journals. His latest novel "Scimitar" was released in late 2016.